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2024-12-14 12:32:32

IEA Monthly Report: The decision of OPEC+has reduced the potential oversupply. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said today that the recent decision of OPEC+member countries to postpone the planned production increase has "greatly reduced" the potential oversupply next year. Nevertheless, IEA said that in view of the persistent overproduction in some OPEC+member countries, strong supply growth outside the alliance and moderate global oil demand growth, there may still be a serious oversupply in the oil market in 2025. IEA predicts that even if all OPEC+production reduction plans remain unchanged, supply will exceed demand by about 950,000 barrels per day next year. IEA said that if OPEC members start increasing production in April as planned, the oversupply will increase to 1.4 million barrels per day.Turkish Defense Ministry source: Syrian allies continue to advance in northern Syria to "eliminate terrorism".Nordic United Bank: The risk of the European Central Bank cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cannot be ignored. Nordic United Bank said that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, but there is also a significant risk of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. The differences within the Committee have intensified again, and it is not easy for Lagarde to get another consistent compromise. A possible compromise is to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and at the same time, some guidelines are given, indicating that as long as the ECB's benchmark view remains unchanged, it may cut interest rates again in January. Our benchmark expectation is still to cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the meeting in April next year, when the deposit interest rate is expected to reach 2.25%.


Zelensky's office stated that it was ready to negotiate with Russia. Mikhail Podolyak, adviser to the director of Ukrainian President Zelensky's office, said in an interview with Channel 24 that Kiev was ready to negotiate with Russia. He pointed out that simple solutions should not be expected, and Ukraine needs just peace conditions. Earlier, Kremlin spokesman dmitry Peskov said that Russia was willing to negotiate with Ukraine provided that the conditions proposed by Russian President Vladimir Putin were met. The conditions mentioned include the complete withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from new Russian regions and Ukraine's neutrality.The monkeypox vaccine with independent intellectual property rights in China was approved for clinical use. On December 10th, the monkeypox vaccine jointly developed by China Bio-Beijing Institute of Biological Products and China Center for Disease Control and Prevention received the approval notice of drug clinical trial issued by National Medical Products Administration, and it was registered and classified as Class 1.2 innovative vaccine. The vaccine is an innovative vaccine independently developed by scientists in China with completely independent intellectual property rights, which is expected to play an important role in the prevention and control of diseases caused by monkeypox virus in China. (China Biology)Xiamen Tungsten Xinneng: Signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement for solid-state batteries with Xinwangda Power. Xiamen Tungsten Xinneng announced that the company and Xinwangda Power signed the Strategic Cooperation Framework Agreement for Solid-state Batteries on December 11, 2024. The two sides will give full play to their respective advantages in market and technology, promote the industrialization of a series of new energy battery materials for solid-state batteries, establish a deep-seated strategic cooperative relationship, jointly develop a series of new energy battery materials for solid-state batteries, and further expand business cooperation at an appropriate time.


US Treasury Secretary Yellen: The oil market is well supplied and the price is relatively low. US Treasury Secretary Yellen said that the oil market is well supplied and the price is relatively low. Russia has invested a lot of money in its fleet to avoid the western oil price cap sanctions.Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.Italy's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in the third quarter was 6.1%, and the previous value was 6.80%.

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